Cyclone Burevi to cross Sri Lanka TOMORROW: Rainfall above 200mm expected

Burevi will be the fifth cyclone over the North Indian Ocean this year, after Amphan, Nisarga, Gati, and Nivar. Cyclone expected to reach a maximum intensity of 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph. Very heavy rainfall above 200mm can be expected in some areas in Sri Lanka.

At the time of writing Cyclone Burevi or (05B), located approximately 300 nautical miles east of Colombo, Sri Lanka, has tracked northwestward at 8 knots over the past 6 hours. Infrared satellite imagery shows a consolidating system with improved deep convective banding. Upper-level analysis indicates a favourable environment with enhanced poleward outflow and low vertical wind shear.

Additionally, sea surface temperatures values (29°C) are conducive for further development. 05B is tracking under the steering influence of a subtropical ridge positioned to the north but is forecast to gradually turn westward after 24 hours then west-southwestward over the next 4 days as it tracks under a strong deep-layered subtropical ridge entrenched over the Arabian Sea.

Numerical model guidance is in fair agreement lending moderate confidence in the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) forecast track. 05B should intensify to a peak of 45 knots in 24 hours under favourable conditions. After 24 hours, the system will track across northern Sri Lanka, which will weaken the system, then along the southern coast of India, which will further weaken the system. 05B should dissipate in 4 days. Maximum significant wave height at 01/12:00 UTC is 10 feet (3 meters). Next warnings at 01/21:00 UTC, 02/03:00 UTC, 02/09:00 UTC and 02/15:00 UTC. (via zoom.earth)

You can get live update about the storm here -> https://zoom.earth/storms/05b-2020/