• Numbers.lkSri Lanka in Numbers
Desk
  • Home
Reporting
  • News
  • Analysis
  • Explainers
  • Write-ups
Trackers
  • Exchange Rates
  • Inflation
  • Credit Ratings
Maps
  • Internet Speeds
Tools
  1. Trackers
  2. Credit ratings
Numbers.lkSri Lanka in Numbers

Reporting

  • News
  • Analysis
  • Explainers
  • Write-ups

Trackers

  • Exchange Rates
  • Inflation
  • Credit Ratings
  • Internet Speeds

Tools

  • All Tools
  • Income Tax
  • Loan Installment
  • Electricity
  • Water
  • WHT
  • Speed Test

Company

  • About
  • Changelog
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2019–2026 Numbers.lk

Sri Lanka in numbers, context, and plain English.

Trackers

Credit Ratings Tracker

Latest Fitch · 22 Sep 2026

Sri Lanka’s sovereign credit ratings from Fitch, S&P and Moody’s — where they stand today and every move since 2005.

Rating path · all agencies
Long-term foreign-currency ratings on one notch scale. Pick an agency below to focus its line.

Investment-grade gap

6 notches

To BBB- / Baa3

Counted from Sri Lanka’s best current rating.

FitchS&PMoody’sRating actionDefault zone
Rating actions
Every upgrade, downgrade and outlook change since the first ratings in 2005, with the reason given at the time.
  1. 22 Sep 2026Fitch
    CCC+B-
    UpgradeStable outlookSource

    Upgraded on sharp improvements in fiscal and external balances and structural reforms. Fitch projects debt at 92.9% of GDP in 2026 and reserves at US$ 7.7 bn by year-end. Country ceiling raised to B-.

  2. 24 Aug 2026Moody’s
    Caa1
    AffirmedStable outlook

    Affirmed. Moody’s projects debt at about 95% of GDP and over 580% of revenue in 2026, with interest absorbing more than 40% of revenue.

  3. 27 Jul 2026S&P
    CCC+
    AffirmedStable outlook

    Affirmed on resilience to external shocks and strong revenue growth. Transfer & Convertibility assessment raised to B- from CCC+.

  4. 1 Oct 2025Fitch
    CCC+
    AffirmedNo outlookSource

    Affirmed at CCC+.

  5. 19 Sep 2025S&P
    SDCCC+
    UpgradeStable outlook

    Raised from SD — S&P’s first upgrade since the crisis — on steady recovery, fast fiscal consolidation, IMF reform momentum and rebuilding reserves.

  6. 23 Dec 2024Moody’s
    CaCaa1
    Upgrade · 3 notchesStable outlook

    Upgraded three notches after the private-creditor bond restructuring concluded, reducing default risk on new bonds.

  7. 20 Dec 2024Fitch
    RDCCC+
    UpgradeNo outlookSource

    Upgraded out of default after the international sovereign bond exchange completed. Local-currency IDR also raised to CCC+.

  8. 28 Nov 2024Moody’s
    Ca
    On reviewOn review for upgrade

    Placed on review for upgrade when the government launched the international bond exchange offer.

  9. 25 Sep 2024Fitch
    RD
    AffirmedNo outlookSource

    Affirmed at RD.

  10. 28 Sep 2023Fitch
    RD
    AffirmedNo outlookSource

    Affirmed at RD.

Showing 1–10 of 70

1 / 7
How the rating scales line up
Each row is one notch. Fitch and S&P share letters; Moody’s uses its own symbols for the same step.
S&PFitchMoody’sGrade
AAAAAAAaa

Prime

Highest quality; default risk is negligible.

AA+AA+Aa1

High grade

Very strong capacity to repay.

AAAAAa2
AA-AA-Aa3
A+A+A1

Upper medium grade

Strong capacity to repay, somewhat sensitive to bad times.

AAA2
A-A-A3
BBB+BBB+Baa1

Lower medium grade

Adequate capacity to repay. The lowest rung of investment grade.

BBBBBBBaa2
BBB-BBB-Baa3
BB+BB+Ba1

Speculative

‘Junk’ begins here. Repayment is likely but exposed to shocks.

BBBBBa2
BB-BB-Ba3
B+B+B1

Highly speculative

Currently paying, but a limited margin of safety against adverse conditions.

BBB2
B-B- (Sri Lanka’s current rating)B3
CCC+ (Sri Lanka’s current rating)CCC+Caa1 (Sri Lanka’s current rating)

Substantial risk

Default is a real possibility; repayment depends on favourable conditions.

CCCCCCCaa2

Extremely speculative

Very high default risk.

CCC-CCC-Caa3

Near default

Default is probable or imminent, with limited recovery prospects.

CCCCCa
CCC
SD / DRD / D—

In default

The issuer has missed payments on some or all of its debt.

Sri Lanka todayInvestment-grade lineSpeculative (“junk”)
The agencies
Who the Big Three are, how they rate a country, and their record on Sri Lanka.

Fitch Ratings

The smallest of the “Big Three”. Fitch introduced the AAA-to-D letter scale that S&P later adopted, and has a local arm, Fitch Ratings Lanka, that rates Sri Lankan banks and companies on a national scale.

Current

B-

Peak

BB-

8 Dec 2005

Lowest

RD

19 May 2022

Up / down moves

3 / 8

33 actions listed

Rating tracked here
Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR)
First rated Sri Lanka
December 2005
Headquarters
New York and London
Founded
1914
Default grade
RD
Before a likely move
Rating Watch

How it rates a country

Fitch scores sovereigns on four pillars — structural features (governance, income, banking sector), macroeconomic performance, public finances, and external finances — through its Sovereign Rating Model, then a committee adds qualitative overlays of up to ±3 notches.

Reading its scale

Letter grades from AAA to D, with + and − modifiers from AA to B. ‘RD’ (Restricted Default) means the issuer has defaulted on some obligations but is still operating and has not entered formal bankruptcy — the grade Sri Lanka held from May 2022 until its bonds were restructured.

Ratings, explained
The terms you will see in rating announcements.

Data note

Long-term foreign-currency ratings, checked 23 Sep 2026. Fitch’s full rating history is pulled from Fitch’s official ratings service every week. S&P and Moody’s do not publish ratings openly, so their actions are picked up from news coverage and added once at least two outlets report the same rating; those rows are marked “News”. Sources: Fitch Ratings (official rating history, refreshed weekly); S&P Global Ratings and Moody’s Ratings rating-action releases; EconomyNext, Newswire, Daily FT, Ada Derana and other coverage of each action.

Sri Lanka at a glance
Where the three ratings sit today and how far they have travelled.

Rating range today

CCC+ to B-

Average ≈ CCC+ (Caa1) · substantial risk.

Notches above default

6

Best current rating is 6 steps above SD / RD.

Peak rating

BB-

Fitch, 8 Dec 2005 — 3 notches above today’s best.

Time rated in default

32 months

From S&P’s SD (25 Apr 2022) to Fitch’s upgrade out of RD (20 Dec 2024).

Upgrades6
Downgrades19

Counts every notch change across the three agencies since 2005, including moves into and out of default.

Key moments
What moved the ratings.
  1. Dec 2005

    First ratings

    Fitch (BB-) and S&P (B+) rate Sri Lanka for the first time.

  2. Oct 2007

    Debut sovereign bond

    US$ 500 mn international sovereign bond (ISB) issued.

  3. May 2009

    War ends

    IMF US$ 2.6 bn Stand-By Arrangement follows in July.

  4. Jul 2011

    Peak ratings

    Fitch BB-, S&P B+ (positive), Moody’s B1 (positive).

  5. Jun 2016

    IMF Extended Fund Facility

    After Fitch’s downgrade to B+, a US$ 1.5 bn EFF is agreed.

  6. Oct 2018

    Constitutional crisis

    All three agencies downgrade by one notch within weeks.

  7. Dec 2019

    Tax cuts

    VAT and income-tax cuts trigger negative outlooks.

  8. Mar 2020

    COVID-19

    Slide into the CCC range begins as tourism collapses.

  9. Apr 2022

    Sovereign default

    External debt payments suspended on 12 April 2022.

  10. Mar 2023

    IMF bailout

    US$ 3 bn Extended Fund Facility approved.

  11. Dec 2024

    Bonds restructured

    ISB exchange completes; Fitch and Moody’s lift Sri Lanka out of default.

  12. Sep 2026

    Back to ‘B’

    Fitch upgrades to B-, the first single-B rating since 2020.