📊 Presidential Election 2024: Voter Perception Analysis
In our 2nd presidential election poll which was conducted from August 9-23, we asked 2,700 respondents to estimate the percentage of votes each of the top 4 candidates will receive in the election. The data we gathered provide fascinating insights into voters thinking patterns and highlight which campaigns have garnered the most resonance among the electorate.
In our second presidential election poll, conducted from August 9 to August 23, we asked respondents to estimate the percentage of votes each of the top four candidates will receive in the election. We posed four questions in the following format:
What percentage of the vote do you estimate [Candidate Name] will receive in this election?
The poll was conducted in all three languages and surveyed 2,700 adults across all 22 electoral districts. These estimates by the voters offer key insights into voters' perceptions of the upcoming election and the general mood of the country as we approach September 21, 2024. Here are the key takeaways:
1. Voter Perception and Age
Perception of the voters on how well each candidate do in the Election 2024 | Age wise analysis (unweighted)
Contrary to popular belief, our data show that voter perceptions of a candidate's chances are consistent across different age groups. Whether we ask 20-year-olds or 40-year-olds to estimate the election results, their average predictions tend to be closely aligned, assuming each group has a sufficiently large sample size. (Note: Standard deviation and variance may vary.) This indicates a general consensus on how the election might unfold, suggesting that voter perceptions remain consistent across all age groups.
- Perception Variance by Electoral District
